Close
UK v. Italy COVID cases

lack of progress with lockdown cases show that we are not ready to relax “measures”

New CoronaVirus by day – Italy

COVID IT - lack of progress with lockdown cases show that we are not ready to relax "measures"

New CoronaVirus by day – UK

COVID UK - lack of progress with lockdown cases show that we are not ready to relax "measures"

On March 23rd, Boris Johnson told the country that “We must satay at home, and “lockdown” began. This should have reduced the transmission of the disease.

Any last-minute transmissions before lockdown should have become symptomatic around the end of the month (symptoms take up to a week to develop)but the daily infection rate continued to rise to between  four and six thousand a day through out April as people flouted and ignore lockdown rules for various reasons: the weather, bank holiday, their kids are driving the crazy, the want to do DIY; and we are barely two weeks past the bank holiday, I fear that we still have more fallout from Easter to hit us yet.

Italy, the country that we are benchmarking our response against, started their lockdown on March the ninth. A much stricter lockdown than that which we didn’t observe in the UK, country hit it’s peak on the twenty-first, withing two weeks (inside incubation period or any last-minute infections) and has been on a downward trajectory since, evidencing that it is past its peak, we have not seen such evidence with our daily new cases rate, the throttling at six thousand may suggest a limitation in the pipeline that has prevented the testing numbers going any higher, but without adequate testing having been completed it is not possible to show the extent of the virus and where it’s going next.

in short – MORE STILL NEEDS TO BE DONE

 

 

(graphs from Google and Wikipedia)

we know that not all #COVID tests are even being completed, the numbers are just an empty target

Leave a Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

© 2020 Lawrence Mallinson | WordPress Theme: Annina Free by CrestaProject.
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
%d bloggers like this: